Election Day – Finally

I’ve already made my predictions (Part I, Part II, Part III). I am now ready to vote–finally! Actually, I have been for a few years. It’s pretty simple for me: straight Republican for this election; however, I won’t be pushing the “Straight Republican” button on the machine. Why? There’s just more satisfaction for me for selecting each candidate. Here’s my list:

  • President: Mitt Romney (Paul Ryan VP)
  • US Senator: Tom Smith
  • US Congress (4th District): Scott Perry
  • Attorney General: David Freed
  • State Treasurer: Diana Irey Vaughan
  • PA General Assembly Representative: Stan Saylor
  • Auditor General: John Maher

To be completely honest, I’m not even sure yet if I’ll vote in the morning before work, or in the evening after I get off of work. I’m leaning for the morning. And of course, I’ll be up late watching the results come in. I remember doing this for the first time in 2000 (I was 13 then…yes, I’m a nerd for this stuff!), staying up until 2AM, going to bed, then waking up to hear that the election was still a tossup. Hopefully, it won’t be this time around.

As an aggregate from what I’ve heard, I’ll give you a taste of things to watch out for, to see which way things are trending.

  1. 6:00PM EST | Indiana is one of the first “battleground-ish” states to close its polls (though it should have no problem going for Romney). Indiana has to be called early for Romney. If it takes a few hours, Republicans will be in trouble.
  2. 7:00PM EST | Florida and Virginia are the big states to close at this time. If both are called for Romney before 9:00PM, this will be a good night for Romney.
  3. 8:00PM EST | This is the big one. Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan all close at 9. Of course, there could be some polls open later because of long lines, but overall, between 8PM and 10PM, I think the election will be decided. If any of these states get called for any candidate before 9PM, the night will look very bright for that candidate. If Romney wins ONE of these, the contest is OVER. If Obama holds all of them (especially Ohio), it will be tough for Romney to win–nearly requiring a miracle.
  4. 9:00PM EST | Colorado comes up at this hour. If Ohio ends up swinging in Romney’s favor, and he ends up losing several of the other tossups (like Virginia, New Hampshire, or Iowa), Colorado will push him over the top, theoretically. If Obama picks up Colorado, along with Virgina and Iowa after Romney wins Ohio, then Mr. Obama could still eek out a victory. Wisconsin is of course here as well. Romney would have to have it if he loses Ohio. Otherwise, the state doesn’t mean quite as much to either candidate.

And a few tips from me to my fellow conservative voters:

  • Don’t let the exit polls that might be leaked in the afternoon do ANYTHING to you. Don’t say, “Oh, it looks like Obama’s going to win. I’ll just vote next time.” That’s what the Democrats want you to do. That’s what they tried to do in the 2004 elections when Bush won, as well as the recent Wisconsin recall election. If we would have went by the leaked exit polls in Wisconsin, then Walker would have lost handily. Note: he won by 5 points.
  • Make sure your vote is counted. If somehow you are not on your precinct’s registration list (because you moved recently, ended up at the wrong polling place, etc.) make sure you get to the right polling place.
  • Don’t let long lines hinder you. If the polling place is about to close, make sure that you stay in line.

And on a much more important note:

If Mitt Romney is elected President, the Senate flips to Republican control, and the House stays solidly red, then guess what? In the long run as Christians, this means pretty much nothing. Yes, I am a conservative. I believe in free-market, capitalist economics. I am pro-life, pro-gun, pro-freedom of religion, and pro-limited-government. But my political beliefs are gong to change our country to what it needs to be at heart. I am reminded of this so much when reading biographies of historic preachers (Edwards, Moody, Spurgeon,  Torrey, Finney, among others)? They never were involved in preaching a “vote this guy in, and revival will come” gospel. What did they pray for? A Spiritual Awakening: one preaches the Living Christ; that floods the aisles with converts; that mends families; that rescues the needy; that strives for Godly Holiness. This is what we need as a nation. Sure, a political victory is great to have. But what does it matter in eternity? Vote on Election Day. Vote for God’s moral values. Vote for freedom. But never forget Whom we serve for eternity!

I would recommend reading Joel Rosenberg’s Implosion for more on this subject.

Judgement Cometh

...and that right soon.

If you haven’t already, get out and vote!  Make it a priority!  Vote for freedom and prosperity!  Vote for conservative, Constitutional candidates!

…I had to get that little rant out.  I am especially glad I have done my part to kick out Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid.  My vote for Pat Toomey for US Senator I give gladly!  On top of that I have given my vote to Tom Corbett for governor, and Todd Platts for Congressman.  Both Pat Toomey and Tom Corbett winning would be “pick-ups” for conservative Republicans.  With that said, here are a few humble predictions of mine for today.  We will see how right (or wrong!) I was by tomorrow.

  • Pat Toomey(R) will defeat Joe Sestak(D) by 5 points here in PA.
  • Next door, in Delaware, Chris Coons(D) will only defeat firebrand Christine O’Donnell(R) by 6 points
  • Far out west in Nevada, Harry Reid will be defeated by Sharon Angle, but probably by less that we would hope–around 3 points.
  • Colorado, I think, will not be all that close.  Ken Buck(R) will win over Michael Bennet(D) by 6 points.
  • In California, this may be closer than expected, but I still thing ol’ Barbara Boxer(D) will hang on by 2 points against former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina(R).  If she is losing by tomorrow in a narrow race, expect plenty of lawsuits.
  • Washington is a liberal state.  However Dino Rossi(R), will very narrowly win this after the week is over against Patty Murray(D).  There may be plenty of recounts here…
  • Also a place worth watching closely is Illinois.  I think that Mark Kirk(R) will get more real votes than Alexi Giannoulias(D).  However, this is the state where “Crook” County is found.  Complicating the situation, Chicago swindling and politics may just pull this one off for the Democrats.  I sure hope its a wide enough margin here for Mr. Kirk(R), so Chicago and Mayor Daley won’t be able to make votes come out of thin air, and rig this election.
  • The there’s West Virginia.  Unfortunately though, the Democrats have found their winning strategy here in Joe Manchin(D).  Mr. Manchin has come out as a conservative, “Palin-ite”, Democrat.  Even just yesterday, he said that he and Palin were “friends.” John Raese(R) has a tough one to pull off here.  I think that Manchin(D) will win by five points here, possibly more.

As a summary to all of that, I expect the senate to be broken up as 51 Democrats and 49 Republicans.  Perhaps this isn’t all that optimistic, but I think I am being pretty conservative in my estimates.  In the House of Representatives, though, GOP gains will be HUGE.  I honestly think that 65 seats is probable, possibly more.

Now, the Democrats are going to make this their victory somehow.  They will probably make anything less than a full Senate takeover as a GOP loss, and anything less than 60 seats as a victory for them too.  Just know, if anyone makes either one of those two points, just say that a turnover in this proportion has not happened since the Great Depression.

Oh, and don’t forget to vote!